Us Recession 2025 Newsletter. In early 2023, with high inflation and rising mortgage rates, there was all but a consensus that the united states would experience a recession by the end of the year. While the jump in the unemployment rate was unexpected by most economists, not all are convinced the us is headed for a recession [file:

According to an october wall street journal survey of business and academic economists, the probability of a recession in the coming year has decreased from 48% to 39%. The us may no longer avoid a recession.